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Independent Macro Analysis • Editor: Morning Navigator Newsletter • @realvision Contributor • Cornell Big Red • Barrier Islander
Excellent national and state data model here from @IHME_UW Showing peak hospital need April 6 for NY, April 12 for MA, April 16 for IL, April 24 for CA. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
Projection shows 40-160K US dead by August, likely around 80K. Horrifying, but an improvement.